How Much Student Debt Will Your MBA Cost You
Maria |
November 28, 2023

In this episode of Business Casual, hosts John, Maria, and Caroline delve into the financial aspects of pursuing an MBA. They explore the significant costs associated with top U.S. business schools, revealing that average debt burdens can reach as high as $143,000, as seen at Kellogg, and around $99,000 at Harvard Business School, even for scholarship recipients.

The hosts provide their opinions on different aspects of this topic. Caroline emphasizes the importance of early financial planning and advises candidates to consider a mix of savings, loans, and scholarships. Maria points out that the return on investment for an MBA is substantial, often leading to lucrative careers that justify the initial debt despite the high costs. Meanwhile, John notes that while some schools offer more generous scholarship funds, others might admit more students from less affluent backgrounds, affecting the average debt figures.

The episode highlights the complexities of financing an MBA, the importance of planning, and the potential long-term benefits, making it a crucial listen for prospective MBA candidates.

Episode Transcript

[00:00:07.290] – John

So how much money do you think you have to borrow to get your MBA? We’re going to explore that topic in today’s podcast with Maria Wich-Vila and Caroline Diarte Edwards, my co host. I’m John Byrne with Poets and Quants. And you’re listening to Business Casual, our weekly podcast. Now, we just did an analysis of the MBA debt burdens at the top 50 US business schools, and the data is pretty darn interesting. So based on the numbers that are reported by the schools to the Department of Education, and let me tell you, they’re four years old, and that’s the latest data available on the high end. You have Kellogg, where the average indebtedness is $143,000, and then you have everybody else. I think there’s one, two, three, maybe four schools where students are averaging debt of 100 or more thousand dollars. And if you actually look at the Harvard Business School latest loan page, Harvard is saying that the average student graduated with loans of approximately 99,000. And even for those who received a scholarship, the loan amount was not much lower, 94,000. And the neediest half of scholarship recipients at Harvard was $75,000, which seems to be an awful lot of debt, particularly if you were to include the debt that many people are carrying with them from their years in undergrad.

[00:01:47.500] – John

How do people do it? Caroline?

[00:01:50.210] – Caroline

Well, it takes a lot of advanced planning, that’s for sure. And that’s something that we talk to candidates about. And also when I was at INSEAD, we would encourage candidates to start their financial planning as soon as possible.

[00:02:05.340] – Maria

Right.

[00:02:05.590] – Caroline

Don’t wait until you’re admitted to the program to start thinking about where the money is going to come from. So for most people, for the vast majority of students, it’s a mix of savings and loan, and for some of the lucky ones, then some scholarship support as well. But you can’t count on getting a free ride, right, if you’re going to get a scholarship or financial aid from a school, even with the most generous support, the top schools with deep pockets, they’re not going to give you a free ride. So you definitely need to plan ahead and think about taking on some debt and look at your options well in advance. And it’s often quite complicated, especially for international students. So if in the US, it’s fairly straightforward to get loans to fund your education, but it can be much more challenging for international students, and that’s something that also I faced at INSEAD.

[00:03:00.870] – Maria

Right.

[00:03:01.200] – Caroline

Sometimes people were not able to come to the program because they struggled to put their loans together, certain countries is much more challenging than others. So these are some very big numbers, but nevertheless, it’s a lot less than the total cost of the program. Right? So students are managing to put together savings and get some scholarship support. So if you think about today, the total cost of an M7 MBA must be somewhere in the region of $250,000, right? I mean, the tuition fees alone, it’s $150 to $170,000, plus all the living expenses. And so, as you said, this data is from a few years ago. But nevertheless, people aren’t graduating, on average, with a quarter million dollars of debt. They are getting support, and some of them will have been able to put in some substantial savings. But for the vast majority, I think it’s a mix of loans and some scholarship support.

[00:04:07.980] – John

True. And if you look at the percentage of a class that actually graduates with debt at Yale, it’s only 44%. So somehow, 56% are finding enough money to basically pay for their education and their living expenses without having to take out a loan. Berkeley, it’s 46%. Duke, 56. UVA Darden, 53. NYU, Stern, 45%. At Harvard, it’s 52% of the graduates come out with debt. Maria, what do you make of these numbers?

[00:04:42.220] – Maria

I mean, I think that it is an indicator of the fact that the business school, the goal of a lot of people going to business school is to enhance their careers. And the schools realize this. And as a result, yes, getting an MBA is expensive, but they also know that you are positioning yourself well to make a lot of money afterwards. And so I think the business schools, rightfully so, are often looking for students to take on some level of debt so that the students themselves also have some skin in the game. And I think also, even when the numbers. I think that, if anything, I think some of these numbers might be a little bit underneath what I would intuit that they would be. These just might be the student loans. But perhaps, for example, I know a few people in business school who took out tremendous credit card debt to be able to join the trips with other people. Right? That’s something you cannot use student loans for. But these international trips are a big part of the social life. Know, going skiing in Vermont and all these sorts of things that people.

[00:05:45.070] – Maria

Maybe that’s also influencing my perception a little bit of the overall costs. But I do think that no matter how big the number gets, I think the career results are such that most people happily pay this. And I think, in fact, when they have surveyed people who have taken on debt, most people say that it was still an investment worth making.

[00:06:07.410] – John

Yeah, totally. Well, if you look at, let’s just say, Harvard. So in our story, we’re reporting two different numbers. We’re reporting year old debt numbers that were collected from us news because us news asked each of these schools to report that number. Many of them refused to report it, including most of the M7, incidentally. And then we’re including the rarely seen Department of Education numbers that are reported to the Department of Education from the schools directly. And we have much more complete debt on that, even though it is four years old. And then, of course, you have the current numbers, which I quoted earlier from the Harvard business School, because they’re up by, like 11,000 per loaner in one year at Harvard Business School. So you got a bunch of numbers. But one of the things I think that comes through here in interpreting them is that schools where students have high debt have two things going for them. I think, one, it’s possible that they are admitting more students who simply didn’t save a lot of money or don’t come from wealthy families and therefore have to borrow more. The second conclusion would be that those schools have less scholarship money to spread around than other schools where the debt levels are lower.

[00:07:41.400] – John

So if you look at. I’m just going to deal with the Department of Education numbers. Now, if I look at Stanford, the Department of Education number is, the average debt is 74,000. And that compares with the northwestern number that I cited earlier of 143. Now, I know Stanford is incredibly generous, as is Harvard, and that could very well be the differential. On the other hand, you might make the argument that many people who go to Stanford because they probably come from even more elitist backgrounds and better jobs than those who go to Kellogg may have more wherewithal to actually pay for their education than the students who go to Kellogg. That’s one other conclusion. Right? But still, Kellogg is still on the high side, because if you look at Chicago Booth in their neck of the woods, the average indebtedness, according to the Department of Education numbers, is 96,000 versus at 143 at Wharton, incidentally, it’s 86,000 at MIT, Sloan, 73, Columbia, 98,000. You expect it to be higher in New York City, given the cost of living and the fact that people would normally borrow more money than the tuition requires to cover other expenses.

[00:09:00.750] – John

It’s also high at NYU Stern, where it breaks 100. It’s 109,000 at NYU Stern. And again, living in New York isn’t cheap, and the tuition isn’t very low either. So that’s also an indication of those factors. I wonder what else you can glean from these numbers, Maria. Now, you’re someone who had to take out debt years ago, right?

[00:09:28.470] – Maria

Yes. And it was many, many years ago, and it was higher than the average number being reported.

[00:09:34.150] – John

And that’s why the tuition was lower.

[00:09:37.050] – Maria

Yeah. So it really is. When they say an average, they’re not kidding. It’s really an average.

[00:09:42.100] – Caroline

That’s because Maria did too many ski trips.

[00:09:44.630] – Maria

I know it was too. Yes. Thank you. I do not ski. Skiing combines three things I hate. Being cold, being scared and being in pain. And it’s like one activity that combines all three things. I hate. But thank you for that. No, I think what to make of some of this is, I do wonder if some of the lower, for example, you cited Stanford and Harvard having slightly lower debt numbers than, say, a Kellogg. I wonder if it’s more about the inputs as opposed to like, I have worked with candidates to these programs and not all of them, but some of them are easily making 200, $300,000 or more prior to even entering some of these programs. And so, first of all, it’s not a huge stretch of the imagination that they have saved money for it. Many of them are sponsored. If they work for, say, a consulting firm that pays for the MBA or if they’re sponsored by their government, some students from overseas, their governments will pay for them or their employers will pay for them. So I don’t necessarily think that anything can be, if anything, you say, wow, Northwestern is at 143 versus Booth at 95.

[00:10:51.940] – Maria

Well, Booth, we’ve talked about. You’ve reported on this a lot, John, that Booth has a huge scholarship fund. They’ve raised a ton of money in the past several years that they’ve been putting specifically towards scholarship money. And one thing that I think is interesting is not just looking at the debt level, but if we then also look at the pay, which was all the way in the right hand column of your report, the average pay, there’s a differential of, what, roughly five and a half, $6,000 per year from that first year pay. So even though maybe the story is that people coming into northwestern are coming in from less lucrative backgrounds, maybe it’s also that Northwestern gives out less scholarships. And yet at the end of the day, when people are graduating, they’re effectively making the same amount of money as people from Booth. So it’s not like, oh, I don’t know. I don’t think it’s a reflection of the quality of the program. I’m wondering if it’d be fascinating to be able to dig into the data and really look at is it that the school is, quote unquote stingy, or is it that the know, is it perhaps letting in people who were very financially successful prior?

[00:11:58.690] – John

Yeah, that’s a really good point, because you would assume, incidentally, that Chicago Booth would have more people who come from finance, which pays very well. And I know of all the schools, the largest private equity crowd goes to Stanford, which is why such a high percentage of their graduates end up back in PE or venture capital. And there’s a good number of hedge fund employees who go to the likes of a Wharton of Columbia, Chicago and Stanford, given the finance slant or the brand value to the graduates. So obviously, if you’re working for a PE firm for a number of years or a hedge fund, you’re going to be making over 200,000 to begin with. So that’s going to really go a long way to making sure you don’t have any debt when you graduate or you have very little. So that’s to be factored in here, too. I think these numbers also make you think twice about, hey, maybe a one year program does make sense, right? Caroline?

[00:13:05.610] – Caroline

Well, it’s certainly a more cost effective proposition, I think, for many students. Right, because you’re paying tuition, fees and living expenses and foregoing your salary for literally half the time.

[00:13:18.960] – Maria

Right.

[00:13:19.300] – Caroline

So return on investment of the top one year programs is typically very good. And that’s a key reason why many international candidates do apply to programs like INSEAD, because as we’ve said, often pre MBA, they have not had the earnings capacity of students in countries like the US, and therefore they are more price sensitive. And that one year proposition is really very appealing. I would say, though, that looking at this data, when you do compare, as Maria says, the average debt and then the average pay post MBA, I mean, just eyeballing this, it looks like the average pay is about double for many of the schools of the average debt. So it’s not going to take them a huge amount of time to pay that off, is it, if that’s what they’re earning post MBA. So I think if you put it in that context, it doesn’t look so bad at all.

[00:14:20.770] – Maria

True.

[00:14:21.090] – John

And the income numbers that we’re showing do not include things like, oh, anything from year end guaranteed bonus to different earnouts, depending on the kind of job that you have or performance bonuses, or even more standard things like a moving allowance or some other perks that often are granted graduates of MBA programs. So the four programs where the Department of Education debt is over 100 would be Kellogg, NYU, Stern, Cornell and SMU Cox, which is a bit of a surprise. And according to the US news data, which is incomplete because as I mentioned before, many schools refused to report it, the schools with the highest debt in six figures would be UVA, Darden, UC Berkeley, UNC, Chapel Hill, Duke Fuqua and Yale SOM. You could see all the data in the think, you know, I don’t want people to see the data and get them scared off from going and getting an MBA. And I’ll let Maria tell you.

[00:15:30.090] – Maria

Thanks, John. Yeah, no, I mean, I think most people, and I think that you Poets and Quants may have done a previous article about this a few years ago where somewhere there was a survey that was cited that most MBA graduates are happy that they got the MBA. And I think for the vast majority of people, the debt in retrospect was certainly worth it. I think especially in this day and age of digital media, where a tweet can reach 1000 people in an instant, if people were graduating with these debt numbers and then feeling as if though they had signed on for an impossible repayment plan and boy, this wasn’t worth it, and wow, do I regret this. I think that we would have heard that pretty quickly, right? I think that that would have been reflected. I mean, I know that numbers are down, but I think that’s a broad application. Numbers are down, but I think that’s a broader indicator of the strength of the overall economy, perhaps. But overall, people are happy to take on this debt because when they graduate, not just the post MBA, right. I know that the focus is on that immediate post MBA salary, but if you really take the tools that you get from an MBA education and apply them throughout your career, you’re going to use that to catapult yourself to even higher and higher levels of earning.

[00:16:47.750] – Maria

And so, for example, let’s say an NYU is one of the most expensive schools in terms of the debt. But if you go into finance, out of NYU, and the people who work in finance tend to make a ton of money, if they stick with it for 10, 15, 20 years, they can be making millions of dollars per year. And so I think most people who take on this debt are happy to do so. And even people who don’t pursue perhaps the most financially lucrative of routes, they still see value in the MBA as making them stronger in whatever field it is. So even if they do go into the nonprofit sector, they feel that they are better managers and better leaders as a result. And therefore they have more success in whatever their given field is. And also the loan repayments can be, you can refinance them, you wouldn’t want to refinance them now, but the people taking on that debt right now, in today’s high interest rate environment, they will be able to refinance them hopefully in a few years. Or if you need an extension, it’s very easy to get extensions on those loans.

[00:17:48.780] – Maria

Or for example, I know many schools will have loan forgiveness programs where I often get people reaching out to me and saying like, well, it’s not fair that I didn’t get a very big scholarship from the school because I’m going to be a social enterprise person and I’m not going to be making a lot of money. And therefore they should have given me more money up front. And I’m like, yeah, but they don’t know that. Maybe you’re going to show up and then you’re going to end up working in investment banking for Goldman Sachs. So what a lot of schools do is they do it on the back end. In other words, when you graduate, if you then take a job that pays under a certain amount, if you then take a job that is in the public sector, the schools themselves will often forgive part of your debt in order to make that less onerous of a burden. So even someone might graduate with say, $90,000 worth of debt. But then if they take a public sector job, the school or whoever it is might say like, okay, well, we’re going to forgive 20 grand of that, right?

[00:18:41.110] – Maria

It is very rare. In fact, I don’t know that I’ve ever, I mean, obviously nobody wants debt idea. In an ideal world, no one would have any debt for anything ever. So everyone sort of grumble sometimes, like, oh, student loan payments. But I don’t think anyone that I know, not just in my sort of social circle, but even amongst clients, people don’t really reach out to me and say, oh, this was a terrible, this debt. Well, I should have never gotten the MBA. I think the overwhelming majority of people are glad that they did it, which is why the circle of life and debt continues.

[00:19:13.930] – John

Indeed. And I also think that some of these numbers are preventing some people from making the decision to go and get an MBA. I mean, this could be very well one of the reasons why domestic applications have been going down for some time. And I should add that these numbers are all in the context of schools having raised hundreds of millions of dollars in the past decade to fund much more generous scholarships at almost all the schools. And that has been a priority of many deans in their fundraising campaigns to help offset the high cost of an MBA. Caroline, I wonder if you get candidates who actually get into schools and then say, oh my God, I don’t think I can afford it, what should I do?

[00:20:05.520] – Caroline

Do you ever hear, I haven’t. I don’t recall any recent clients being in that situation? I certainly did come across that when I was head of admissions at INSEAD, that we would sometimes admit people who struggled to put their financing together. And in fact, occasionally we would allow those candidates to defer. So schools generally don’t like giving deferrals, right, because it messes up the class that they have carefully crafted. Sure, but we would. And the school, I believe, still does this give people deferrals for a very short list of reasons. And one would be, for example, medical issues, and the other would be that they don’t have the money right now, but they have a plan for getting the money together. And in twelve months time, or 18 months time, they could join the program and be able to finance it. And the school will work closely with candidates like that. And they have dedicated staff, right, who advise students on their financing and help give them information about options and advise them on how to put that together. Because at a school like INSEAD and the other international schools, it is often quite complicated, right?

[00:21:23.790] – Caroline

You have people coming from literally all over the world and coming from countries where they may not be able to get a loan locally to finance an international education. So when I was in INSEAD, I signed the deal with prodigy finance, which was put together by a couple of INSEAD graduates to fund because they recognized the issue of their fellow classmates who had struggled to get loans or had got loans with exorbitant interest rates. And so prodigy has been very successful. And there are other providers as well, who have a better model for scoring the risk for that pool than traditional banks, and therefore are able to lend to students who are studying internationally, because often banking is often very locally focused. And so if you are coming from Turkey and you want to study in Singapore, and then you’re going to be going to work in Brazil when you graduate, a local bank in your home market is not going to understand that at all and will just turn you away. And so those providers like prodigy have played a really important role in the market for schools like INSEAD.

[00:22:37.230] – John

Now, to the extent that scholarships are somewhat of an offset to how much money you would need to borrow, how much negotiating power does any candidate truly have over a school on the scholarship money.

[00:22:51.480] – Maria

Maria, I will defer to Caroline for most of that because she was actually in the role of probably having people reach out to her. I have seen varying levels of success on that front, but I think on the most part, I do think that the schools, I don’t think the schools are in it to play games. I don’t think they’re like, well, here’s our first offer, but secretly we have ten grand hidden away somewhere. You just have to ask for it. I don’t think they have the time or the inclination to play those sorts of games. So normally when you do get a scholarship offer, kind of is their best offer. I think if you get into a school that the original school might see as very a strong competitor for them, and then it might sort of inflame this kind of competitive spirit of like, well, we want you and we don’t want you to go to that other school, then that might be a cause for it. But if your higher scholarship offer is from a school that is not viewed as elite, as the school that you are pleading with, my take on that would be like, just take out the higher debt and go to the better school.

[00:23:54.890] – Maria

Invest in yourself, man. This is your chance. You wrote all these essays about how you’re going to go out and change the world and be the person who becomes the CEO that transforms the universe. Great, cool. Put your money where your mouth is. Because as we’ve talked about before, these MBA programs are sometimes loss leaders for the overall institution, right? Sometimes the institutions make more money from or higher profit margins, at least from executive programs, for example, or publishing or other sorts of revenue streams. And so I don’t know if I’m an institution and I have literally thousands of people who would kill for your spot, and I give you that spot. I don’t think it’s unreal if somebody were to come to me and say like, well, I’m not going to go. I get kind of tough love with those folks and I get uncharacteristically capitalist with them when they’re like, well, I got in, but boohoo, now I don’t feel like taking out. I don’t know, it’s too risky. And I’m like, well, either you believe in yourself or you don’t.

[00:24:54.350] – John

Okay, well, Caroline, have you ever been held up when you were admissions director over at INSEAD.

[00:25:00.110] – Caroline

I mean, people do try to negotiate and as you can, you can try, right? You can say to the school, okay, well, I’ve got this great scholarship offer from London Business School, but I’d rather come to INSEAD. Can you match this? And in most cases, it’s probably not going to work. Right. But you could always ask. And in some cases, there can be movement in the scholarship pool. So schools will have a plan of who they’re going to give financial support to. And if some of those admits turn down the offer to come to the school, then they may have some scholarship funding that gets freed up that they can then reallocate. Right. So we would sometimes do, and when I was at INSEAD, we would have some students who we knew were working very hard to put their financing together. And they had some scholarship funding. We knew that they had a loan, but sometimes they still had a bit of a gap, right. And so in some cases, if we had the funds, then we would increase the scholarship to help to close that gap. But you really have to provide a lot of information to the school to get that. And whether or not you can get that depends on whether there’s any funds left at the end of the day.

[00:26:28.650] – John

And there’s no downside. Right. I mean, look, if I ask for a little more help, you’re not going to reject me after you’ve admitted me, right?

[00:26:36.770] – Caroline

No, but just be careful how you ask. Right. You need to show your gratitude if they have already given you some support and you don’t want to come across as arrogant and over entitled and too demanding, because that is just going to get you nowhere. It’s highly unlikely that they would withdraw an offer at that point.

[00:27:07.740] – Maria

Right.

[00:27:08.080] – Caroline

But it’s not going to get you anywhere in the negotiation, for sure.

[00:27:12.200] – John

Yeah, exactly. And besides, if they actually withdrew an offer, can you imagine in today’s social media world how that would get out and look really bad for the school? I don’t think anyone could do that. So I don’t really think there’s any downside in trying to negotiate as long as you do so in a gentlemanly way. And as Caroline says, express your gratitude for what you’ve already been given and the fact that you really want to go there and you know it’s going to make a difference in your life. So you can negotiate from a very positive point of view, which would help a lot. All right, there you have it. Check out the debt numbers. Obviously, for every individual student and graduate, this is going to be a different story depending on your circumstances, whether you have the money to just pay it, whether you have the ability to gain a scholarship. And we do know that most of the schools offer their scholarship money on the basis of merit, there are only two that contend they only offer it on the basis of financial need, and that’s Harvard and Stanford, although there is some skepticism about that.

[00:28:21.390] – John

So that even in those schools, there may be a good number of awards based on merit as well. And good luck. I hope you don’t have to borrow too much money, but if you do, we think it’s worth it. It’s a no brainer. The return on investment is there, and if you use your education to get the best possible job, you’ll probably be able to pay back that loan in less than five years, and maybe even quicker, because many people do. All right, thanks for listening. You’ve been hearing Business Casual, our weekly podcast.

The Economist Dis on MBAs: Is the Degree Still Worth It?
How Much Student Debt Will Your MBA Cost You
Maria |
November 28, 2023

[00:00:00] John Byrne: Well hello everyone, this is John Byrne with Poets and Quants, welcome to Business Casual, our weekly podcast with my co-hosts Maria Wich-Vila and Caroline Diarte Edwards. Today we have a special guest, Heidi Hillis from Fortuna Admissions. She is based in Australia, is a senior expert coach for Fortuna, and has three degrees, all from Stanford, a BA in English literature, that’s my degree, an MA in Russian studies, and an MBA from the Graduate School of Business. And we have Heidi here to discuss some really fascinating research. Here’s what Fortuna did. They dug into the last Two class profiles of the Stanford Graduate School of Business.

That’s the class of โ€˜23 and the class of โ€˜24. They looked up all these folks on LinkedIn to identify a little bit more about their backgrounds, including their former employers and their places of undergraduate education to come up with an incredible analysis. Heidi, welcome.

[00:00:46] Heidi Hillis: Thank you. I’m glad to be here.

[00:00:48] John Byrne: Heidi, what is, what are the big takeaways from your deep dive discovery?

[00:00:54] Heidi Hillis: It’s hard to know even where to start. I think there’s a quite a few interesting kind of trends that we’ve seen that have taken place over the years. We were mentioning before the call that traditionally there hadn’t been, 10 years ago, if you’d looked, you wouldn’t have seen so many tech companies represented, but now there’s a big presence of tech companies who are feeding a lot of these MBA programs in Stanford in particular.

I think that the thing that was really interesting was, looking, not just at where the companies that were feeding the students, the applicants to Stanford. When they were working there, when they were applying, but actually the paths that they took prior to their current job.

So how many people were working, if you look at McKinsey, for example, or Bain and BCG, those are obviously companies that feed a lot of applicants to the program, but we found 20%, which seemed to be normal of, the class came from consulting, but if you actually look into the numbers in their background, You would see that actually 37 percent of these two classes had worked at McKinsey sometime prior, or actually in consulting, so it was, it’s The kind of the patterns that are behind, what you would normally see in terms of what Stanford tells us.

So you get a sense of the paths that people have taken. And so that’s something that was really interesting to see.

[00:02:16] John Byrne: Absolutely. And of course, this is this analysis goes so far beyond what any applicant would learn by simply looking at the class profile that the school up because, this level of detail is never available to people.

[00:02:33] Heidi Hillis: No, and yeah, for example, you could see that, Stanford will say that they have around, each year around 50 percent of applicants are international, which is a great statistic and gives you lots of hope if you are an international student. But when you dig into the numbers, you actually understand that.

75 percent of the people who get into Stanford actually went to a U. S. University. So even if you’re international, it does have does seem to have kind of an advantage of having been educated in the U. S. That seems to be something that they look for. However, I think. The concentration of universities in the U.

S. that are feeding to Stanford is something also that, if you’re looking at it, you might find a little bit dis, disconcerting. There’s a few programs that are really, obviously the top. Programs as you would expect places like Harvard, Stanford, Yale, the Ivies but if you look at the international universities very diverse from all over the world, really lots of people from different places, which is also really interesting.

[00:03:38] John Byrne: Yeah I tell you, one of the things that struck me in the data is how consistent it is. 10 years ago, we did the same exercise at Stanford and a bunch of other. Schools from Harvard and Dartmouth and Columbia and talk and a few others and back 10 years ago, we found that 25. 2 percent of the class of 2013 were from Ivy League colleges.

And the Ivy League 8 schools, not including Stanford. And if you included Stanford, it would have been 32. 6%. So now, let’s move forward to your data. And in 23, 30. 7 percent went to Ivy League schools, even above the 25. 2. And in 24, 27. 9 percent went to Ivy League schools. So it looks like Stanford has gotten even a little bit more elitist than it was.

Yeah,

[00:04:41] Heidi Hillis: It’s, it is it’s what the data says, right? Obviously, this is a sample. We have 80 percent of the two classes. So we don’t know where those other people went. And that might skew the data a little bit in another direction. But it is, if you look at there’s 15 schools, that include the Ivy’s and then you have UC Berkeley and obviously Stanford that really are contributing, 49 percent of the class of 23, 47. 3 percent of the class of 24. So that is a pretty heavy concentration and But, if you actually look into the data, you see a lot of people also, each of these is actually an individual story.

You see a lot of people who come from other schools as well. So it’s not like you have to give up hope if you come from a different school. I see a lot of individual stories that, from the whole range of U. S. schools that really are feeding into Stanford. So I think what the data doesn’t also tell you, unfortunately, is how many of these Of people from these backgrounds are actually applying.

So

[00:05:39] John Byrne: good point.

[00:05:40] Heidi Hillis: It’s it’s hard to know. And sometimes I think people this is. A path that a lot of people who go to these schools plan to take from the very beginning. So I would see, it would be interesting to know that I don’t know that we will ever find that out. But, um, that’s something to keep in mind as well.

[00:05:56] John Byrne: Yeah. And that’s a fair point. Because how reflective are these results of the applicant pool reflective of an elitist attitude probably a combination of if I had to guess, but, it is what it is, and these institutions obviously are great filters, so you come from McKinsey, Bain, BCG, and you go to Harvard or Stanford or Penn, and you pass through a fine filter, and it makes you less of a admissions risk than if you went to, frankly, the University of Kentucky and worked for a company that no one knows of.

That’s just the reality of elite MBA admissions, right?

[00:06:40] Heidi Hillis: Yeah. And so you will see that the people who are not going, you’ll see a lot of the people who you would, the profiles that you would expect, the Harvard undergrad that then goes to Goldman that then was working at a PE firm.

That’s a really typical profile that you’ll see. But you’ll also see some really, unique and interesting ones, which I think, Okay. Helps you understand that if you don’t have that path, you also have a real chance at these schools, and maybe even more of a chance, again, not knowing, how many of those Goldman P.

E. Harvard grads are applying. So I’m thinking of the guy that I saw who he went to UPenn undergrad, studied engineering, started out a kind of pretty typical path working in private equity, but then made a big pivot to work for go to Poland where he was working in a real estate investment firm and the head coach of the Polish lacrosse team.

So you have really interesting profiles like that, that you can see that. aren’t necessarily taking that typical path. And sometimes that really does help you stand out.

[00:07:42] John Byrne: True. Maria, what surprised you most about the data?

[00:07:48] Maria Wich-Vila: Wow. I think we already covered, the, one of the biggest ones was the number, the percentage of people who would had some sort of either their undergraduate or graduate education within the United States.

Intuitively, I had felt that was true. And sometimes when I try to, give some honest, tough love to applicants from certain countries, and they’ll say, oh, but Maria, I think you’re being a little too pessimistic. After all, X percent of the applicants at these schools are international, and Y percent are from a certain geography internationally.

I’ll say yes, but that doesn’t mean that they’re all Solely from that area. A lot of them are, do have significant international educational experiences. I think another, speaking of the international piece the percentage of people who had significant international work experience as well was something else that really jumped out at me.

Because it would signal to me that Stanford really does value this global perspective both within probably its domestic applicants and also its international applicants. So I thought that was also a really interesting piece of data that jumped out at me.

[00:08:52] John Byrne: Now remind me what percentage was that?

[00:08:56] Heidi Hillis: People who are international

[00:08:58] John Byrne: who have had international work experience.

[00:09:01] Heidi Hillis: I think it was 30%.

[00:09:02] Caroline Diarte Edwards: Yeah. Yeah. Yeah, it’s pretty

[00:09:04] John Byrne: impressive.

[00:09:04] Caroline Diarte Edwards: 30%, which I was thrilled to see. As well as coming from in Seattle and Europe. Obviously the international schools put a heavy emphasis on international experience and I hadn’t fully appreciated that. A school like Stanford would also.

really value that to the same extent. And it’s great to see that candidates are making the effort to get outside of the U. S. and get international experience because I think you gain so much from that exposure. And you bring more to the classroom if you’ve got that experience. I know that both Maria and Heidi.

I’ve worked outside of the home countries as well. Pre MBA and I think that you just have so much more to contribute to the whole experience. And it was great to see that 30%.

[00:09:50] John Byrne: What else struck you, Caroline?

[00:09:53] Caroline Diarte Edwards: We talked about the concentration of academic institutions, and I was also surprised about the concentration in employers.

So while there is a very long list of employers where the students have worked pre MBA when you dig into the career paths that they’ve taken there is some interesting concentration. Heidi had noted that the reports that There are 26 companies that account for nearly one third of the class in terms of where they were working right before Stanford.

But when you look at their whole career history, those same 26 companies represent over 60 percent of the class. So that is, yeah, that’s quite extraordinary that so many of the class have experience of working at quite a short list of companies.

[00:10:46] Heidi Hillis: I think that’s reflective of, if you really think about it, you have a lot of these companies.

You’re talking about the Goldmans and the Morgan Stanley and McKinsey that have really large programs that recruit out of undergrad that are really training grounds for. A lot of people that then on to do, work in industry or go on to work for in finance in particular, a lot of people starting out at some of these bulge bracket banks and then going into.

Private equity or smaller firms. So the diversity within finance in terms of where they were working prior to MBA is quite large compared to consulting because there just aren’t as many consulting firms, but a lot of people in financing, a lot of different firms, but they, a lot of them really do start out in these training programs, these analyst programs that are so big and popular.

[00:11:34] John Byrne: Yeah, true. And looking back, I did this exercise as well. The feeder companies to Stanford 10 years ago in the class of 2023, 22. 8 percent from McKinsey, Bain, BCG, and your data, 22. 5 percent work there. Incredible consistency over a 10 year period. When you look at the top six employers 10 years ago, they were McKinsey, BCG, Bain, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, and JP.

Morgan Chase. They accounted alone for 34 percent of all the students in the class of 20, 2013 at Stanford. In your data for 23 and 24 they account for 29. 8%, just a few percentage points less. So remarkable consistency. And I think you’re right, Heidi, this is a function of the fact that these firms bring in a lot of people who are analysts and actually expect them after 3 to 5 years to go to a top MBA school.

So there’s a good number of them in the applicant pool to choose from and let’s face it, they’re terrific candidates.

[00:12:46] Heidi Hillis: Yeah. I think another pool of really terrific candidates that you see, and I don’t know what the 2013 data was saying, but is the US military, which is really, I think, again, something that I felt having worked with lots of military candidates myself, understand that, Yeah, intuitively, I would have expected, but to see it in the data is actually really interesting.

You just see Stanford in particular, I think, is really looking for leadership potential, and it’s so hard to show that as an analyst, as a consultant, but as in the military, these people have such incredible leadership experience that it really helps them to stand out.

[00:13:23] John Byrne: Yeah. And let’s tell people what the data shows.

How many out of us military academies,

[00:13:28] Heidi Hillis: In all in total, we had, 20 over the two years. So that’s in the two classes that we found. So that’s, a pretty large number. And they come from all the different academies, right? So you’ll find them from different, not academies, in the army, navy and the marines.

So you’ll see that. And you also see quite a few, in the data we’ll, we see a lot from the Israeli military as well, but that’s actually a little bit difficult to because every Israeli does go into the military. So it’s they have that in their background. Any Israeli candidate would have Israeli military background as well, but again, that’s.

Place that people can really highlight their leadership. So you had eight people from who had been, who were Israeli and obviously had military experience where they were able to demonstrate significant impact and leadership prior to MBA.

[00:14:18] John Byrne: Yeah. In fact, 10 years ago, roughly 2%. of the class went to either West Point or the U.

S. Naval Academy. Good number of people actually from the military. Maria, any other observations?

[00:14:34] Maria Wich-Vila: Yeah, I was also surprised at the fact that within those top employers And when we look at the tech companies, it was Google and Facebook and Meta with a pretty large showing. Google was actually the fourth largest employer after the MBBs and, but then, I was expecting there to be an equal distribution amongst those famous large cap technology companies.

So I, I would have expected even representation amongst Google, Meta, Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Amazon, et cetera. And yet. Apple and Amazon only had one or two people each versus Google at 25. So I thought that was really fascinating and it makes me wonder if perhaps it’s a function of maybe Google and Meta might give their younger talent more opportunities to lead impactful projects, perhaps.

I’m just guessing here, but maybe Apple and Amazon perhaps are more hierarchical. And maybe don’t give their younger talent so many opportunities, but I was really surprised by that. I would have expected a much more even distribution amongst the those famous those famous tech companies.

[00:15:40] John Byrne: Yeah. You’re right. And I crunched the numbers on the percentages and Google took three and a half percent of the two classes and that’s better than Goldman, Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan Chase. Facebook had 2. 7 percent and Microsoft at 1. 5, and I was shocked at Amazon because, Amazon is widely known as the largest single recruiter of MBAs in the past five years.

At one point, they were recruiting a thousand MBAs a year, but in, in one sense, maybe Amazon quite doesn’t really have the prestige. For Stanford MBAs who might rather work elsewhere, I think that might be is, you look at the employment reports at a lot of the other schools and Amazon is number one at a number of schools and very low percentage of people from Amazon going to Stanford.

We don’t know, of course, how many. Leaving Stanford and going back to Amazon, but it can’t be that many.

[00:16:41] Heidi Hillis: I wonder if there’s something about just a proximity effect here. You have the plate, like the meta and Google just being so close to Stanford, maybe it just, attracts more people applying because they.

They’re almost on campus and maybe, just being Amazon all over the world and different places could be not attracting as many. I don’t know.

[00:17:03] John Byrne: Yeah, true. The other thing, the analysis shows, and this is what you also gather from the more public class profile is really the remarkable diversity of talent that a school like Stanford can attract year after year.

It is, it blows you away, really. The quality and the diversity of people despite the concentration of undergraduate degree holders or company employers, it’s it’s really mind boggling, isn’t it?

[00:17:33] Heidi Hillis: Yeah, they come from everywhere and really interesting paths and even the people I think that, have those kind of typical paths, you see a lot of diversity within them as well.

So I think, even if you’re coming from a Goldman or a McKinsey having lived in another country or gone to done a fellowship abroad or running a non profit on the side. These things are actually what helped them to stand out. But you do see some really interesting, I think, profiles, too, of people who’ve just done, you get a sense of what it would be like to be in the Stanford classroom.

People from really unique and different backgrounds. People who come from all different countries and lawyers, doctors people who have run, nonprofits in developing countries people running large programs for places like Heineken or Amazon too. But, it’s a real diversity of backgrounds.

[00:18:27] John Byrne: Now, Heidi, I wonder if one is an applicant. Is this discouraging to read and here’s why if I’m not from Harvard, Stanford, Penn, Columbia, Brown, Cornell, Dartmouth, and if I didn’t work for McKinsey, Bain, BCG, Goldman, Google am I at a disadvantage and should I even try? Some people look at the data and come away with that conclusion.

[00:18:52] Heidi Hillis: I think it’s a reality check for a lot of people. I think it’s just, it’s really, it just helps people understand, what it, the difficulty of this, why it’s so competitive, but I think that there is, again, behind the kind of the percentages, you do look at these individual profiles and I would get, I would actually take a lot of hope from it if I were looking, as an applicant, because especially if you are.

Maybe a little bit more of a big fish or small fish in a bigger pond or big fish in a smaller pond you go to Rice or you go to Purdue or, and you do really well, those are the people who, they’re definitely looking for that diversity of background as well as the international.

I think that’s really neat. think that, instead of looking at the data and saying, why not, why I shouldn’t even apply, it’s why not me look at these other profiles of people who have taken really unique paths that that do get in. So I think it is actually a Kind of a mix of both, it is a reality check for a lot of people, but it’s actually, there is so much diversity in the data as well.

I think also one thing that we haven’t really covered is about is just the prevalence of social impact in, that’s really taken hold of the class. I don’t, again, going back to your 2013 analysis, I’m not sure how easy it was to tell that, but a lot of you can see reflected in the both the types of organizations people are working for, but also their titles and the kinds of work that they’re doing that that there’s a huge 40 percent of the class of the two classes had some kind of social impact in their background.

Whether that’s, running their own nonprofit on the side or volunteering or. Running trans transformational kind of programs within companies that are, either in finance or consulting or in industry. That’s a big trend. I think that people can take heart from as well.

So if you’re working if you feel like you’re in an organization where you’re not getting the leadership that you. can use to highlight your potential for Stanford, that’s definitely a place you can go is working for in volunteer capacity for a non profit or on the board of a of some kind of foundation.

Those are the kinds of places that you can highlight your potential

[00:21:00] John Byrne: true. And I know we have a overrepresented part of every applicant pool at an elite business school are software engineers from India. And I wonder in your analysis, how many of them did you find from like the IITs?

[00:21:18] Heidi Hillis: That’s a good question. The IITs, it was again, it was one of these you have about 50 percent of classes internet, so 25 percent of the class. was educated outside of the US. The IITs are going to be up there. Let’s see from India, 2. 1 percent of the class came from India. So probably, I don’t know offhand exactly how many of those were IITs, but

[00:21:43] John Byrne: I’ve had a lot of them.

[00:21:45] Heidi Hillis: Yeah, probably a lot of them. Although I think, that’s the other thing is that people who come, to work with me from India, they feel like if they haven’t gone to IIT, then that’s going to be a disadvantage. But I think, you’ll find that there are, there’s representation of other universities as well.

Definitely.

[00:22:00] Caroline Diarte Edwards: Yeah, I was just looking at the list of undergrad institutions. And for example, you’ve got Osmania University from Hyderabad. So it is not, it’s not all IIT. Okay.

[00:22:12] John Byrne: Yeah, exactly. And Caroline, 1 of the things about the institutions that are really represented here and that I don’t really see unless I missed it.

I didn’t see a Cambridge or an Oxford. Two of the best five universities in the world. And I wonder if that’s just a function of fewer people in the applicant pool or what? What do you think that could be about?

[00:22:36] Caroline Diarte Edwards: I had a look through the uk Institutions and you have got cambridge in there.

I think I also noticed. Bristol university there are a few different universities. So i’m aston university, which is not it’s not on a par with Oxford or Cambridge. So I think that speaks to the point that Heidi made that you don’t have to have been to an elite school to get into Stanford.

Aston is a good solid university, nothing wrong with Aston, but it’s not it’s not one of the top UK universities. So there’s definitely some interesting variety in the educational backgrounds of the students going to Stanford. And

[00:23:16] John Byrne: then, yeah, it is if you’re a big fish in a small pond, like Afton, you’ll you could still stand out in the pool.

[00:23:26] Heidi Hillis: Absolutely. There’s a lot of really interesting background, you have look hard on blue and you have Miami University and some really smaller universities abroad. I think. Again, it’s really, if you look at that, it does give you hope because it’s really what you do afterwards and if you, obviously, if you come from one of these schools, you probably want to be in the top, 5 percent of the graduating class, you want to show that you have the GPA that can support an academic background that they feel comfortable that you’ll be able to compete academically, but, and maybe that’s what you’re Offset by the, the GMA or the scores, you don’t know, we don’t have those on here.

But, um, the path post university really becomes much more important in those cases. What you’ve done since then where you’ve, how you’ve risen from starting at a entry level position to, running a division or heading a country group or something like that.

[00:24:21] John Byrne: And as far as Cordon Bleu goes, every good business program needs a Cordon Bleu, for God’s sake, right?

You want to eat well at those NBA parties, don’t you?

[00:24:32] Heidi Hillis: Absolutely.

[00:24:35] John Byrne: Maria, I’m sure that was true at Harvard.

[00:24:38] Maria Wich-Vila: I wasn’t the one doing the cooking but I certainly, I was certainly a member of the wine and cuisine society where I happily participated in the eating and consuming a part of that.

But to, to the point that we were just recently talking about. regarding being a big fish in a small pond. Not only have I seen it personally with applicants that I’ve worked with who did not attend these elite universities, but even many years ago, I attended a, an admissions conference where Kirsten Moss, who was the former head of admissions at Stanford, she actually told stories about how they’ve accepted people who even attended community college.

But within the context of that community college, they had really moved mountains. And she said that one of the things that they look for is, Within the context and the opportunities that you’ve been given, how much impact have you had? So maybe you don’t have an opportunity to go to Yale or MIT or IIT for your undergraduate, but whatever opportunity you have been given, have you grabbed that opportunity and really made the most of it and really driven change?

So she specifically called out, I believe, I believe there were two students that year at the GSB who had both started their educations, their higher educations at community college. Anything is possible. It really is about finding the people who, wherever they go, they jump in and make an impact.

[00:25:55] Heidi Hillis: Yeah, I think that to that point, I think it can almost be a more difficult if you’ve gone to Harvard and then worked at one of these, gone on one of these paths because we know that there’s, that’s an overrepresented pool in the applicant pool to stand out among those to have had that, that pedigree sometimes can be a disadvantage, right?

If you haven’t done as much as you should have with that, or if you started at that high level to show that level of progress over the course of your career is actually a little bit more difficult. Okay. And coming from a community college and rising to, a country level manager in some places is actually puts you at a significant advantage, I would say.

[00:26:31] Maria Wich-Vila: Because it’s hard for those people, it’s hard for those people to stand out, but also I think some of them go on autopilot, right? I think some people are on this kind of achievement, elite achievement treadmill, where they’re not even really thinking about what do I want to do with my life?

They’re always reaching for whatever that next, what’s the best college to go to? It’s Harvard Princeton. Yeah. Okay. Now that I’m here, what’s the best employer to work for? It’s McKinsey, Bain, BCG and without actually perhaps stopping to think about what is my passion? What impact do I want to make in the world?

And so I feel sometimes those autopilot candidates, I feel a little bit bad for them because they’re doing everything quote unquote and yet sometimes when you speak with them, that passion just isn’t there. And I do think that may ultimately harm them in the very, very elite business school.

Admissions because business schools want people who are passionate because at the end of the day, in order to do hard things, you’re going to need passion at some point to get you through those low periods. And so I think that’s something business schools look for. And I do think that sometimes these.

These kind of autopilot candidates might sometimes be at a disadvantage.

[00:27:29] Heidi Hillis: Yeah, I think that, to that point look in the data, when you look at it, you see so many people who’ve gone to McKinsey, Bain, Weasley, or Goldman, but then there’s a, you see a lot of success for people who’ve actually pivoted.

So those pivots that are post The second or third job really do show you that, if you’re if you get a candidate who’s coming from, still at McKinsey, okay, that’s fine. They have to be the top 5 percent of McKinsey, like they have to be going to get so many McKinsey applicants that the only the, you can look at the data in a couple ways.

One is, oh, my God, they took 12 people from McKinsey and the others. Oh, my God, they only took 12 people from McKinsey, right? That’s So if you want to be one of those 12, you have to be the top 12 in the world, right? Whereas if you’ve gone to McKinsey and then done an externship at a health care startup and then moved on to be a product manager at for health at Google, that kind of a path is definitely showing a little bit more, maybe risk taking, maybe ability to follow your passions.

So I think that. When I see candidates who come to me, for example, and they’re like, not thinking about applying now, but maybe in a year or two, I say, look for an externship, maybe think about pivoting out of one of these places and looking for some operational experience.

And because you see in the data that works.

[00:28:42] Maria Wich-Vila: And they’re doing themselves a service not only in terms of enhancing their admissions chances, but even just in terms of determining, what do I want to do with my career? If I do eventually want to go into industry, what functional role do I want to have?

What industry do I want to work in? So it’s, it actually benefits them in the long term to do that as well, even if they don’t go to business school. I think those secondments and externships and second job, post consulting jobs are extremely valuable. Totally agree with you.

[00:29:06] Caroline Diarte Edwards: And I’m sure they also bring more to the classroom as well.

I would think that’s also why Stanford is selecting some of those candidates, because not only have they worked at McKinsey, but they’ve also led a non profit in Africa or worked in private equity or whatever it is. So they have much more breadth that they can bring to the classroom. And I think that It’s seen as a very valuable contribution

[00:29:29] John Byrne: in Heidi.

Did you see that? The majority of the candidates to examined actually did work in more than one place, right?

[00:29:37] Heidi Hillis: Yes, most of them did. There were very few that, you see working at one place. And I would say that those are people that would have really risen through the ranks.

Someone who’s worked at Walmart and become, started in, I don’t know, in one state, but then to become a regional manager and things like that really are going to onto a global role. The people who have stayed at one place really have shown significant career progression within that.

And then the other people I think you do see a lot of movement. The big. The most typical would be from investment banking to private equity and then you do find in finance, there’s a little bit less kind of movement into other industries. You see a lot of people staying within finance, but within finance.

Yeah. Yeah. The other industries, especially consulting or other, tech, people are really moving into other places and it’s becoming, it is a little bit difficult. We have these categories that we’ve talked about, for example, healthcare, but it’s hard to categorize some of these companies.

Are they healthcare? Are they tech? There’s a lot of overlap. And so everything’s a little bit of tech in something nowadays. So whether it’s finance and fintech or education and ed tech or health care and health tech, these are all merging and combining. It’s hard to categorize them.

[00:30:53] John Byrne: So looking at the data here I wonder if you’ve seen your old classmates in the sense that these new people are very much like the people you went to school with at Stanford. I

[00:31:05] Heidi Hillis: put this out and it’s really interesting to a lot of my classmates downloaded the report and read it. And a lot of them came back and said, oh, boy, I would never get in now.

It’s these people are super impressive. I think that you see a lot of. It’s just become more and more competitive. And I think that with more information and more people every year applying, it is becoming really difficult. I think that you do see a lot of, I am encouraged by the diversity part of it that you see still Stanford.

I feel like they do take risks on some really interesting profiles and candidates that maybe some other schools are less likely to do. And so that’s what does give me. A lot of hope when I get some kind of really nontraditional candidate who wants to, their dream school is Stanford. I feel like, I say all the time, there’s a 6 percent chance.

You’re going to get in, but there’s 100 percent chance. You won’t get in if you don’t apply. So you’ve got to, you got to give it a go. And that’s, the attitude that we take to it.

[00:32:04] John Byrne: Indeed. So for all of you out there read Heidi’s article on our site, it’s called who gets in and why exclusive research.

Into Stanford GSB and I’ll tell you one conclusion I have about this is that, man, if you really want to get into Stanford, you need a Sherpa, and and Heidi would be a great Sherpa for you because the, just the profiles of these folks, where they’ve been, what they’ve done, what they’ve accomplished in their early lives is so remarkable that To compete against, in this pool for a spot in the class you need every possible advantage you can get.

And and having an expert guide you through this trip probably would be a really big advantage. So Heidi, thank you for sharing your insights with us and the research, the very cool research.

[00:33:01] Heidi Hillis: Thank you

[00:33:03] John Byrne: and for all of you out there. Good luck. And if you want to go to Stanford, you got to check out this report.

Okay. It will inspire you to up your game, even if you are from Harvard, Stanford, Wharton, or wherever McKinsey, Bain, BCG, Goldman, Google, you want to look at this report and you want to really think about. What it will really take to get in. I think it will inspire you, motivate you to really put your best foot forward.

Thanks for listening. This is John Byrne with Poets& Quants.

Maria

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