The MBA Job Market
Maria |
August 29, 2024

In this episode of Business Casual, the hosts discuss a GMAC report indicating a sharp decline in U.S. employer interest in hiring international MBA graduates in 2024, with projections dropping from 40% to 16%. The hosts speculate that election uncertainties and the potential return of restrictive policies under Trump might be influencing these figures. Despite this, they note positive hiring trends in Western Europe and parts of Asia, suggesting resilience in global MBA employment markets. 

The conversation emphasizes the value of an MBA in providing versatile skills and a strong network, preparing graduates for a variety of future challenges and reinforcing the degree’s long-term benefits amidst economic fluctuations.

Episode Transcript

[00:00:04.370] – John

Well, hello, everyone. This is John Byrne with Poets and Quants. Welcome to Business Casual, our weekly podcast with my co-host, Caroline Diarte Edwards and Maria Wich-Vila. Maria, as you all know, is the founder of Application Lab, and Caroline is the former Managing Director of Admissions at INSEAD and the co-founder of Fortuna Admissions. There’s some news out from GMAC, that’s a Graduate Management Admission Council, that isn’t necessarily great news. Essentially, it’s a survey of employers in the US, and it shows that employers expect to hire dramatically fewer international B-School grads. The actual numbers are shocking, frankly. According to the latest survey by GMAC, just 16%, one-six % of US employers had definite plans to hire internationally in 2024, compared to 40% that hired candidates in 2023. Now, there could be a bunch of reasons for this. One is just the fact that we’re in a presidential election year in the US, and there’s a certain amount of uncertainty that comes with that. One of the candidates in this presidential election is someone who had previously been President and discouraged a lot of international hires and cracked down on a lot of non-US people who even came to study in the US.

[00:01:43.620] – John

I remember that when Trump was President, in fact, schools were telling me that their international students didn’t even want to go on global immersions for fear that they would have difficulty coming back into the US and completing their MBA programs. So I I wonder if some of this survey result is a reflection of the uncertainty in the marketplace over whether Trump could get reelected in the US, and there would be a clamp down on essentially immigrant hires. Caroline, what do you think?

[00:02:19.240] – Caroline

Yes, I agree. And it’s a precipitous drop, right? So 40 % to 16 % is really very dramatic. So that does suggest that it’s something quite specific that’s happening right now rather than just a shift in a longer term trend. So I agree. I think there’s concern about the election. We saw it last time when we had the Trump presidency that there was a negative impact on business schools, and for example, that there was a drop in international applications to US business schools. And so I think that recruiters are concerned about what is going to happen. And so of considering that they’ll be holding fire on international recruitment. Of course, the picture might have changed a little bit since the survey was done, because I think a few months ago, there was an assumption that Trump was on a role and looks all set to win the election, and that’s obviously changed in the last few weeks. And so it’s still up for grabs. It’s still going to be an extremely close election, but it looks like Trump is in a less well-positioned than he was was a few weeks back and perhaps when this survey was done.

[00:03:33.110] – Caroline

So how things pan out may be actually quite different from what this survey suggests. So I would urge some caution on over interpreting these results, and international students shouldn’t be too concerned about dramatic change right yet for the time being, because we really don’t know how things are going to pan out, and it looks like there’s a decent chance that the Democrats might win, and therefore, the climate would not be so negative for international students and international MBA students seeking employment in the US.

[00:04:11.870] – John

Yeah, that’s definitely true. I think that’s a really good point, Caroline, because no doubt this survey was out in the field when everyone assumed there’d be a Biden versus Trump contest, and Biden was flailing and declining in the polls, and Trump was resurgent. And there’s been a complete reversal of that after Biden decided not to, in fact, take his party’s nomination in the US. It’s a pretty decent survey. It includes responses from 931 company recruiters, 931 company recruiters from 38 different countries. It’s global as well because only 51% of the companies are from the global Fortune 500, and they are from 38 different countries overall. One of the positive spots about this survey is Western Europe. International grads hiring is up in Western Europe, and that’s a good sign for sure. Maria, what do you make of that?

[00:05:25.800] – Maria

Yeah, I think that as other parts of the world, as their perhaps some of their industries start changing. The industries are changing in every country. Perhaps some of these Western Europe and also I think the Asian countries also had a pretty marked increase. Maybe as they try to incorporate more diverse perspectives into their workforces. Who knows, maybe there could also be a demographic influence in certain parts of Asia where perhaps the domestic population might be decreasing, and so they may be more open to bringing in talent from other countries to help them bridge these gaps. As their economies and as their businesses are changing and as perhaps their natural born demographics are decreasing. I think that there may be a more openness to bringing in international talent, which I think is great news for people who do want to have that international flexibility in their careers.

[00:06:24.560] – John

Yeah, true. The other thing is, well, even today, I had a call from the Economist. The Economist, and the journalist was exploring whether it’s the perennial story as the MBA is fading because the questions were largely about employment of MBAs. We know that in the last recruiting season, not the one that has not yet been reported on. Most schools reported that fewer percentages of their graduates had jobs three months after graduation. It wasn’t a dramatic decline, but it was a decline nonetheless. This survey actually shows that most employers plan to at least maintain their hiring efforts despite whatever concerns they may have over a potential recession, politics, or inflation. It found that more than a quarter of employers are expected to increase their hiring of business graduates with particular demand for the MBA and industry-experienced candidates. The survey found that some 79% of companies overall hired as many or more MBAs as expected in 2023 and planned to hire at least that many in 2024. Overall, the market still remains strong, and we do know that up and down the US economy, despite lesser hiring by consulting firms and tech firms who both tended to overhire for a little while, there are labor shortages all over the in the US.

[00:08:01.760] – John

One of the interesting things throughout the survey is that the strongest demand were for those with management data analytics and business analytics degrees. Nearly a third of employers planned to expand their hiring of data and business analytics talent in 2024. When you look at the employment reports for specialized degrees in business analytics, you find 100% employment within three years of graduation and 95 plus % at graduation. Those grads are very much in demand. What’s your sense of the overall market and what you’ve heard? I mean, the economist is looking at this from the perspective that jobs are drying up for MBAs. I don’t think that’s true. Caroline, what do you think?

[00:08:53.800] – Caroline

I agree. I mean, this data does suggest that there will be fairly stable recruitment, I think, next year. The largest chunk of the employers were saying that they were planning to maintain their recruitment, right? And then a similar size group said that their employment might contract, and their similar number said that their employment projections were going to increase. Those The two extremes seem to balance each other out. To me, it looks like recruitment will be fairly stable next year. I don’t think that there is a contraction. I’m very encouraged to see outside of US, at least, the increase in demand for international candidates, because, of course, that’s good news for schools like INSEAD and London Business School, because that’s exactly the type of profile that they are feeding into the market. Those schools are all about international mobility and providing a platform for students to go and work in markets outside of their home country. And so the fact that employers are signaling that they intend to expand that type of recruitment in Europe, in Asia, that’s really positive. It may be that there has been a bit of a… I think during the pandemic, there was less international mobility.

[00:10:11.700] – Caroline

And so it may be that they’re playing catch up a bit now after a few years of not having hired as many candidates for that international experience. I think that globally, the outlook is pretty positive, but perhaps more of a stable picture in the US.

[00:10:28.780] – John

The other thing is, I think candidates should not allow the natural ups and downs of economic cycles and uncertainty in the economy to affect their decision on whether or not to pursue an MBA. I mean, the truth is you enter an MBA program or you start considering one, it’s anywhere from an 18-month to 24-month journey before you start it. Then if you’re in a one-year program, you have another year to go before you graduate into a marketplace. If you’re in a two-year program, you obviously have two years. So you’re almost looking at a four-year cycle for a two-year program. There’s no way to time that to have the best possible economy that you graduate into. Maria, I’m sure you would just say, Hey, this is interesting. But the truth is, if you want to take advantage of an MBA experience and you want to solidify your career and learn things and meet people that are going to help you throughout your life, it doesn’t matter whether your economy is going up and down because that’s what the economy does, right?

[00:11:34.570] – Maria

Yeah, I think, as we’ve said many times here, your career is a marathon, not a sprint. These fluctuations up and down, I mean, there are people who graduated in 2008 during that financial crisis or after the tech boom and bust cycle in the early 2000s when that initial internet fervor and bubble popped. I mean, these ups and downs have been part of the world we live in, and I suspect they will just… The frequency and amplitude might start increasing as there’s more and more uncertainty thrown into the world with each year, it seems. I think the idea is like, look, we don’t know where the economy is going to be when you graduate in two or three years, depending on if you’re applying now and you’re enrolling in a year and then so on and so forth. I would not try to time. When people We’ll talk about buying stocks, for example. The pundits often say, Don’t try to time the market, just get into the market. I think the same thing probably applies here, where it’s just go for it. Even if that first job out of business school might not be the job you were hoping for or exactly what you were looking for, you’ve still got another 20 or 30 years of your career in which things do tend to even out and come to a certain equilibrium, even if at first you start off a bit behind from where you wanted to be.

[00:13:04.560] – Maria

It’s the same argument for when we talk about how much it costs to get the degree and then how much loans you have to take if you don’t get a scholarship It’s the same idea here. If you’re doing this, it’s because you understand the value that this degree and this experience gives you over the long term. I would think about that and not freak out.

[00:13:28.560] – John

The other oddity, of is that when the economy declines and there is a recession or simply it’s slowed down, we know what happens to application volume. People apply to business school because application volume is countercyclical to the economy. When things go down, applications go up. The reason is simple. People find that opportunities in front of them in terms of promotions and additional raises tend to get diminished in a downturn. So they They get a little frustrated and they start thinking about longer term possibilities for themselves and go to graduate school. Same is true if the economy is down and you actually get laid off. It may be an opportune time for you to say, Okay, you know what? This is a really good time for me to go and get an advanced degree in business to give me a little insurance in the future and to maybe make a transition into some other new field. Then when that happens, of course, there’s greater competition at the best schools to get a seating the classroom. You just can’t time this, ideally, to take advantage of when there are fewer applicants and there’s less competition to get into a school and timing it so that the economy is on all full cylinders and you have multiple job offers at very generous salary offers.

[00:15:00.140] – John

It’s just not impossible to time. I also think, and it is what I always say, and I’m sure the two of you would agree, the world has not become simpler. Things are not easier. They’re more competitive than ever. The need for advanced education and business and management and skills that new jobs require is at all time record levels. I mean, there’s nothing that’s gotten easier in business and in competition that would suggest that you don’t need an advanced degree in business or management. With big trends coming like AI and the impact that’s going to have on whether or not, essentially, computer algorithms will do the jobs of white-collar workers, the more insurance you have, the more skill you have, the more network you are, the better off you’re going to be. I would think that, Caroline, you would agree with that, Yes, absolutely.

[00:16:01.890] – Caroline

An MBA prepares you for so many different possible roles, right? That’s one of the wonderful things about going to business school is that it gives you an incredible foundation to tackle pretty much any challenge in business. And so it gives people the ability to reinvent themselves, not just right after graduating, but five years, 10 years, 20 years down the line. And in an uncertain world, where who knows what the jobs will be in five years or 10 years and how the economy will be looking, it’s an incredible asset to have that education that gives you the skills, that you have the ability and also the confidence to tackle something completely new and a great network of people who are ready to support you. Every career has ups and downs, right? So at some point for any MBA graduate, as we’ve discussed in the past, things might not go as planned as expected. Having an incredible network to support you as well is in many ways a great safety in the net to have for your career.

[00:17:11.040] – John

Yeah, exactly. And even though last year, and I’m talking about 2023, not this year as graduates, which is probably roughly the same. The trend was that smaller percentages of MBAs had job offers three months after graduation. So For example, you look at Kellogg, back in 2022, 99% of the class had job offers after three months. Last year, it was 24.5. Across the board, you’re seeing that thing. At Yale, it was 96.1% had job offers three months after graduation in 2022. Then last year, it was down to 91.5. These are still all impressive numbers. And I think also what they reflect is something that people don’t tend to talk about, but it’s true that I think this new generation is less likely, not in its entirety, but a higher percentage of MBA graduates today are less interested in the mainstream MBA jobs at a McKinsey Bain, BCG, Goldman Sachs, Citi, Morgan Stanley, Microsoft, Google, IBM, Procter and Gamble, Pepsi, than they were earlier. More of them are looking for opportunities in early-stage companies, in startups, and even in non-business fields like health care, which increasingly require business skills, the government, or even the nonprofit sector, because the MBA has become more of an all-purpose degree.

[00:19:02.370] – John

Those jobs, including the most lucrative MBA jobs in venture capital, private equity, hedge funds that pay the most money, are not jobs where employers hire MBAs by the bucket loads. Those are one-z, two-z searches or independent searches for MBAs that take a little bit longer time. I think you’re also seeing some noise in these employment stats that are slightly declining at schools. It’s a function of different career choices being made by a new generation of people. Maria, you buy that?

[00:19:46.240] – Maria

Absolutely. I think that the current batch of MBA students, this generation, a couple of things. I think they’re looking more for work-life balance. It’s not necessarily perhaps about maximizing your salary at all costs to perhaps your health or stress levels, et cetera. I also think that this generation has grown up in a fundamentally more volatile time. If they’re roughly, say, 27, 28, 29 years old right now, they Their childhood involved some of these big swings and shocks to the global economy that we’ve seen. Perhaps they’re more comfortable with that volatility extending into their career plans. By that, I mean, some of these employers that you mentioned before, like the Proctors and Gambles, et cetera, those jobs would offer not guaranteed employment for life, of course, but certainly as close to something like that as you could get. The trade-off would be that you would not have this exponential growth. That was the trade-off you made. I think that this is what we’re seeing, maybe perhaps an attitudinal shift in the generation that is graduating now, just given the circumstances under which they grew up and how exciting some of these rapidly growing technologies can be.

[00:21:04.910] – Maria

I don’t blame them for wanting to perhaps get in on the ground floor of that, an opportunity like that, even if it means perhaps a nontraditional job search or having to hold out to find that employer fit, et cetera.

[00:21:17.360] – John

You’re right about this whole issue of a work-life balance. I’m always from a generation where I didn’t even think about work-life balance because I thought, I’m coming out of school, I want to I want to work my butt off. I want to learn as much as I can. It’s not going to be hard for me because I’m loving it. This is my passion. I want to work with people who are super competitive and smart because you play with the smartest most competitive people, and it makes you better. But younger people today, maybe also having seen how the great recession impacted their parents, and in many cases, seeing what little loyalty any company has had to their employees through this period and beyond. I mean, this is a trend that’s really happened in the ’80s when there were massive layoffs of people who had long been loyal to their companies. We’re talking about white-collar workers may have fed this sense that, Okay, look, I saw how hard my parents work. I saw what happened to them in the Great Recession. That’s not going to be me. I’m not going to be a slave to a company and work those 70, 80-hour weeks that are worked at McKinsey and Goldman Sachs.

[00:22:37.570] – John

I want a work-life balance right out of school. Now, how realistic that is, I don’t even want to talk about how realistic that is in today’s world, where the demands on people are so high and we’re all leashed to equipment that allows us not to separate from our job, or the truth of the matter is that work Work-Life balance is something you achieve over a lifetime. There are times when you’re going to be completely focused on being a new parent, on being a great spouse or a great son or a daughter. Then there are other times when you’re going to be almost completely devoted to your work because it’s an important project, there’s a deadline, and a lot of people are depending on it. I remember when I was at a fast company, we did the cover Balances Bunk because basically, you can’t achieve work-life balance in any given period in your life because the demands on you from any place in your life, personal or professional, change dramatically from time to time. But over your lifetime, over your career, you seek that. But today’s generation seems to want to out the gate, and there’s no question about that.

[00:23:47.450] – John

There’s also, while I was looking at some data recently on some of the contradictions with what Gen Z folks want, they want tremendous freedom in their job, and yet they want to be told what to Now, I’ll figure that one out. Well, Caroline, you have a bunch of young ones who will soon be entering the workforce before you know it. I mean, I know they’re going to college soon and all that thing, but they probably have very different attitudes than even the students graduating right now.

[00:24:23.710] – Caroline

Yeah. No, I definitely see some of those trends in my own children. So let’s see how it all pans out. Let’s see if they can get the work-life balance and do incredibly well in their careers.

[00:24:36.940] – John

And more appropriately, you probably have seen these trends in the applicants that you helped get into school.

[00:24:42.560] – Caroline

Yes, that’s true. But I think that the subset of young professionals that apply to business school and those who are applying to the very top business schools are those who are very driven, who are often quite competitive, and they have to be to get where they are, because if they’re applying to Harvard Business School or London Business School, et cetera, then it’s a self-selecting group. And so to be ambitious enough to pursue that path, then they have typically done very well in their careers. And so I don’t see many slouches amongst those applying to these top schools.

[00:25:21.230] – John

Which circles back to our question about employment. It’s why I think so many companies still want to hire MBA grads from great schools because they know it’s a subset of the employment market. It’s people who are smart, who are ambitious, who are competitive, and who are going to deliver the goods because they want to achieve. I’m sure you saw this in spades over at Harvard with your classmates, Maria. Back then, and if you were to walk into a classroom today, probably the same thing.

[00:25:57.760] – Maria

Absolutely. These are people who are driven to change the world. I do also see, though, some people who are coming from those very high competitive pressure cooker environments who are going to business school precisely to leave that or to at least, maybe not right away, but to at least forge a path for themselves where perhaps they don’t have to make as many of those trade offs. I mean, obviously, there are different strokes for different folks. But I do think that anecdotally, I’ve definitely heard that there’s a lot less interest in, say, investment banking, which used to be one of the top jobs you could get. A big reason why I think the investment banking, the shine, it’s less lustrous and shiny than it used to be, is in part because you hear these horror stories about the working hours and the toll that it takes. Of course, you can’t make a blanket statement, but I think when we talk about why are some of perhaps these graduates, when they are not employed at graduation, and if they are… Some of them are not employed by choice. They want to be employed, they just aren’t. But I do think that some of them are perhaps holding out for that perfect offer.

[00:27:04.380] – Maria

If we’re talking about that, I think in some cases, that’s what it might be. People are issuing the traditional on-campus recruitment in search of some an alternative path?

[00:27:16.660] – John

Yeah, I remember a few years ago, we did a story based on a survey of over 1,500 current and recently graduated MBAs. We asked them about their jobs. MBAs who worked at Goldman Sachs averaged 86 hours a week of work. Now, think about the 86 hours at Goldman Sachs. Mckinsey, 72 hours. Strategy Anne, another consultant for 63 hours, BCG, 63 hours a week. Bain, 58 hours a week. Amazon, 54 hours a week. The 40-hour work week, forget about it if you’re an MBA, unless you work for City Corp. City Group, broadly, the MBAs who work there were averaging 40 hours a week of work. I think that’s an aberration or a statistical quirk. But clearly, MBAs from the top schools are still choosing some of these jobs, even if a fewer percentage of them are than in the past, and the demands are great. But so is the demand for these graduates just because they’re hardworking, they’re ambitious, they’re smart, they’re well-trained, they’re network, and you hire them and they can immediately contribute. You don’t have to wait six months to a year or more before you’re getting a return on your money if you’re an employer, and people know that.

[00:28:52.030] – John

There you have it. Don’t let this latest GMAC report discourage you if you’re an international applicant or a domestic one for that matter. There are cycles, they go up and down, and we do think that the uncertainty of the election is a big factor in the results of this survey. MBA is still a great investment, still a great way to advance your career, still a great way to gift yourself with a generous investment in who you are and who you want to be. Hey, thanks for listening. This is John Byrne with Poets and Quants.

The MBA Job Market
Maria |
August 29, 2024

[00:00:00] John Byrne: Well hello everyone, this is John Byrne with Poets and Quants, welcome to Business Casual, our weekly podcast with my co-hosts Maria Wich-Vila and Caroline Diarte Edwards. Today we have a special guest, Heidi Hillis from Fortuna Admissions. She is based in Australia, is a senior expert coach for Fortuna, and has three degrees, all from Stanford, a BA in English literature, that’s my degree, an MA in Russian studies, and an MBA from the Graduate School of Business. And we have Heidi here to discuss some really fascinating research. Here’s what Fortuna did. They dug into the last Two class profiles of the Stanford Graduate School of Business.

That’s the class of ‘23 and the class of ‘24. They looked up all these folks on LinkedIn to identify a little bit more about their backgrounds, including their former employers and their places of undergraduate education to come up with an incredible analysis. Heidi, welcome.

[00:00:46] Heidi Hillis: Thank you. I’m glad to be here.

[00:00:48] John Byrne: Heidi, what is, what are the big takeaways from your deep dive discovery?

[00:00:54] Heidi Hillis: It’s hard to know even where to start. I think there’s a quite a few interesting kind of trends that we’ve seen that have taken place over the years. We were mentioning before the call that traditionally there hadn’t been, 10 years ago, if you’d looked, you wouldn’t have seen so many tech companies represented, but now there’s a big presence of tech companies who are feeding a lot of these MBA programs in Stanford in particular.

I think that the thing that was really interesting was, looking, not just at where the companies that were feeding the students, the applicants to Stanford. When they were working there, when they were applying, but actually the paths that they took prior to their current job.

So how many people were working, if you look at McKinsey, for example, or Bain and BCG, those are obviously companies that feed a lot of applicants to the program, but we found 20%, which seemed to be normal of, the class came from consulting, but if you actually look into the numbers in their background, You would see that actually 37 percent of these two classes had worked at McKinsey sometime prior, or actually in consulting, so it was, it’s The kind of the patterns that are behind, what you would normally see in terms of what Stanford tells us.

So you get a sense of the paths that people have taken. And so that’s something that was really interesting to see.

[00:02:16] John Byrne: Absolutely. And of course, this is this analysis goes so far beyond what any applicant would learn by simply looking at the class profile that the school up because, this level of detail is never available to people.

[00:02:33] Heidi Hillis: No, and yeah, for example, you could see that, Stanford will say that they have around, each year around 50 percent of applicants are international, which is a great statistic and gives you lots of hope if you are an international student. But when you dig into the numbers, you actually understand that.

75 percent of the people who get into Stanford actually went to a U. S. University. So even if you’re international, it does have does seem to have kind of an advantage of having been educated in the U. S. That seems to be something that they look for. However, I think. The concentration of universities in the U.

S. that are feeding to Stanford is something also that, if you’re looking at it, you might find a little bit dis, disconcerting. There’s a few programs that are really, obviously the top. Programs as you would expect places like Harvard, Stanford, Yale, the Ivies but if you look at the international universities very diverse from all over the world, really lots of people from different places, which is also really interesting.

[00:03:38] John Byrne: Yeah I tell you, one of the things that struck me in the data is how consistent it is. 10 years ago, we did the same exercise at Stanford and a bunch of other. Schools from Harvard and Dartmouth and Columbia and talk and a few others and back 10 years ago, we found that 25. 2 percent of the class of 2013 were from Ivy League colleges.

And the Ivy League 8 schools, not including Stanford. And if you included Stanford, it would have been 32. 6%. So now, let’s move forward to your data. And in 23, 30. 7 percent went to Ivy League schools, even above the 25. 2. And in 24, 27. 9 percent went to Ivy League schools. So it looks like Stanford has gotten even a little bit more elitist than it was.

Yeah,

[00:04:41] Heidi Hillis: It’s, it is it’s what the data says, right? Obviously, this is a sample. We have 80 percent of the two classes. So we don’t know where those other people went. And that might skew the data a little bit in another direction. But it is, if you look at there’s 15 schools, that include the Ivy’s and then you have UC Berkeley and obviously Stanford that really are contributing, 49 percent of the class of 23, 47. 3 percent of the class of 24. So that is a pretty heavy concentration and But, if you actually look into the data, you see a lot of people also, each of these is actually an individual story.

You see a lot of people who come from other schools as well. So it’s not like you have to give up hope if you come from a different school. I see a lot of individual stories that, from the whole range of U. S. schools that really are feeding into Stanford. So I think what the data doesn’t also tell you, unfortunately, is how many of these Of people from these backgrounds are actually applying.

So

[00:05:39] John Byrne: good point.

[00:05:40] Heidi Hillis: It’s it’s hard to know. And sometimes I think people this is. A path that a lot of people who go to these schools plan to take from the very beginning. So I would see, it would be interesting to know that I don’t know that we will ever find that out. But, um, that’s something to keep in mind as well.

[00:05:56] John Byrne: Yeah. And that’s a fair point. Because how reflective are these results of the applicant pool reflective of an elitist attitude probably a combination of if I had to guess, but, it is what it is, and these institutions obviously are great filters, so you come from McKinsey, Bain, BCG, and you go to Harvard or Stanford or Penn, and you pass through a fine filter, and it makes you less of a admissions risk than if you went to, frankly, the University of Kentucky and worked for a company that no one knows of.

That’s just the reality of elite MBA admissions, right?

[00:06:40] Heidi Hillis: Yeah. And so you will see that the people who are not going, you’ll see a lot of the people who you would, the profiles that you would expect, the Harvard undergrad that then goes to Goldman that then was working at a PE firm.

That’s a really typical profile that you’ll see. But you’ll also see some really, unique and interesting ones, which I think, Okay. Helps you understand that if you don’t have that path, you also have a real chance at these schools, and maybe even more of a chance, again, not knowing, how many of those Goldman P.

E. Harvard grads are applying. So I’m thinking of the guy that I saw who he went to UPenn undergrad, studied engineering, started out a kind of pretty typical path working in private equity, but then made a big pivot to work for go to Poland where he was working in a real estate investment firm and the head coach of the Polish lacrosse team.

So you have really interesting profiles like that, that you can see that. aren’t necessarily taking that typical path. And sometimes that really does help you stand out.

[00:07:42] John Byrne: True. Maria, what surprised you most about the data?

[00:07:48] Maria Wich-Vila: Wow. I think we already covered, the, one of the biggest ones was the number, the percentage of people who would had some sort of either their undergraduate or graduate education within the United States.

Intuitively, I had felt that was true. And sometimes when I try to, give some honest, tough love to applicants from certain countries, and they’ll say, oh, but Maria, I think you’re being a little too pessimistic. After all, X percent of the applicants at these schools are international, and Y percent are from a certain geography internationally.

I’ll say yes, but that doesn’t mean that they’re all Solely from that area. A lot of them are, do have significant international educational experiences. I think another, speaking of the international piece the percentage of people who had significant international work experience as well was something else that really jumped out at me.

Because it would signal to me that Stanford really does value this global perspective both within probably its domestic applicants and also its international applicants. So I thought that was also a really interesting piece of data that jumped out at me.

[00:08:52] John Byrne: Now remind me what percentage was that?

[00:08:56] Heidi Hillis: People who are international

[00:08:58] John Byrne: who have had international work experience.

[00:09:01] Heidi Hillis: I think it was 30%.

[00:09:02] Caroline Diarte Edwards: Yeah. Yeah. Yeah, it’s pretty

[00:09:04] John Byrne: impressive.

[00:09:04] Caroline Diarte Edwards: 30%, which I was thrilled to see. As well as coming from in Seattle and Europe. Obviously the international schools put a heavy emphasis on international experience and I hadn’t fully appreciated that. A school like Stanford would also.

really value that to the same extent. And it’s great to see that candidates are making the effort to get outside of the U. S. and get international experience because I think you gain so much from that exposure. And you bring more to the classroom if you’ve got that experience. I know that both Maria and Heidi.

I’ve worked outside of the home countries as well. Pre MBA and I think that you just have so much more to contribute to the whole experience. And it was great to see that 30%.

[00:09:50] John Byrne: What else struck you, Caroline?

[00:09:53] Caroline Diarte Edwards: We talked about the concentration of academic institutions, and I was also surprised about the concentration in employers.

So while there is a very long list of employers where the students have worked pre MBA when you dig into the career paths that they’ve taken there is some interesting concentration. Heidi had noted that the reports that There are 26 companies that account for nearly one third of the class in terms of where they were working right before Stanford.

But when you look at their whole career history, those same 26 companies represent over 60 percent of the class. So that is, yeah, that’s quite extraordinary that so many of the class have experience of working at quite a short list of companies.

[00:10:46] Heidi Hillis: I think that’s reflective of, if you really think about it, you have a lot of these companies.

You’re talking about the Goldmans and the Morgan Stanley and McKinsey that have really large programs that recruit out of undergrad that are really training grounds for. A lot of people that then on to do, work in industry or go on to work for in finance in particular, a lot of people starting out at some of these bulge bracket banks and then going into.

Private equity or smaller firms. So the diversity within finance in terms of where they were working prior to MBA is quite large compared to consulting because there just aren’t as many consulting firms, but a lot of people in financing, a lot of different firms, but they, a lot of them really do start out in these training programs, these analyst programs that are so big and popular.

[00:11:34] John Byrne: Yeah, true. And looking back, I did this exercise as well. The feeder companies to Stanford 10 years ago in the class of 2023, 22. 8 percent from McKinsey, Bain, BCG, and your data, 22. 5 percent work there. Incredible consistency over a 10 year period. When you look at the top six employers 10 years ago, they were McKinsey, BCG, Bain, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, and JP.

Morgan Chase. They accounted alone for 34 percent of all the students in the class of 20, 2013 at Stanford. In your data for 23 and 24 they account for 29. 8%, just a few percentage points less. So remarkable consistency. And I think you’re right, Heidi, this is a function of the fact that these firms bring in a lot of people who are analysts and actually expect them after 3 to 5 years to go to a top MBA school.

So there’s a good number of them in the applicant pool to choose from and let’s face it, they’re terrific candidates.

[00:12:46] Heidi Hillis: Yeah. I think another pool of really terrific candidates that you see, and I don’t know what the 2013 data was saying, but is the US military, which is really, I think, again, something that I felt having worked with lots of military candidates myself, understand that, Yeah, intuitively, I would have expected, but to see it in the data is actually really interesting.

You just see Stanford in particular, I think, is really looking for leadership potential, and it’s so hard to show that as an analyst, as a consultant, but as in the military, these people have such incredible leadership experience that it really helps them to stand out.

[00:13:23] John Byrne: Yeah. And let’s tell people what the data shows.

How many out of us military academies,

[00:13:28] Heidi Hillis: In all in total, we had, 20 over the two years. So that’s in the two classes that we found. So that’s, a pretty large number. And they come from all the different academies, right? So you’ll find them from different, not academies, in the army, navy and the marines.

So you’ll see that. And you also see quite a few, in the data we’ll, we see a lot from the Israeli military as well, but that’s actually a little bit difficult to because every Israeli does go into the military. So it’s they have that in their background. Any Israeli candidate would have Israeli military background as well, but again, that’s.

Place that people can really highlight their leadership. So you had eight people from who had been, who were Israeli and obviously had military experience where they were able to demonstrate significant impact and leadership prior to MBA.

[00:14:18] John Byrne: Yeah. In fact, 10 years ago, roughly 2%. of the class went to either West Point or the U.

S. Naval Academy. Good number of people actually from the military. Maria, any other observations?

[00:14:34] Maria Wich-Vila: Yeah, I was also surprised at the fact that within those top employers And when we look at the tech companies, it was Google and Facebook and Meta with a pretty large showing. Google was actually the fourth largest employer after the MBBs and, but then, I was expecting there to be an equal distribution amongst those famous large cap technology companies.

So I, I would have expected even representation amongst Google, Meta, Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Amazon, et cetera. And yet. Apple and Amazon only had one or two people each versus Google at 25. So I thought that was really fascinating and it makes me wonder if perhaps it’s a function of maybe Google and Meta might give their younger talent more opportunities to lead impactful projects, perhaps.

I’m just guessing here, but maybe Apple and Amazon perhaps are more hierarchical. And maybe don’t give their younger talent so many opportunities, but I was really surprised by that. I would have expected a much more even distribution amongst the those famous those famous tech companies.

[00:15:40] John Byrne: Yeah. You’re right. And I crunched the numbers on the percentages and Google took three and a half percent of the two classes and that’s better than Goldman, Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan Chase. Facebook had 2. 7 percent and Microsoft at 1. 5, and I was shocked at Amazon because, Amazon is widely known as the largest single recruiter of MBAs in the past five years.

At one point, they were recruiting a thousand MBAs a year, but in, in one sense, maybe Amazon quite doesn’t really have the prestige. For Stanford MBAs who might rather work elsewhere, I think that might be is, you look at the employment reports at a lot of the other schools and Amazon is number one at a number of schools and very low percentage of people from Amazon going to Stanford.

We don’t know, of course, how many. Leaving Stanford and going back to Amazon, but it can’t be that many.

[00:16:41] Heidi Hillis: I wonder if there’s something about just a proximity effect here. You have the plate, like the meta and Google just being so close to Stanford, maybe it just, attracts more people applying because they.

They’re almost on campus and maybe, just being Amazon all over the world and different places could be not attracting as many. I don’t know.

[00:17:03] John Byrne: Yeah, true. The other thing, the analysis shows, and this is what you also gather from the more public class profile is really the remarkable diversity of talent that a school like Stanford can attract year after year.

It is, it blows you away, really. The quality and the diversity of people despite the concentration of undergraduate degree holders or company employers, it’s it’s really mind boggling, isn’t it?

[00:17:33] Heidi Hillis: Yeah, they come from everywhere and really interesting paths and even the people I think that, have those kind of typical paths, you see a lot of diversity within them as well.

So I think, even if you’re coming from a Goldman or a McKinsey having lived in another country or gone to done a fellowship abroad or running a non profit on the side. These things are actually what helped them to stand out. But you do see some really interesting, I think, profiles, too, of people who’ve just done, you get a sense of what it would be like to be in the Stanford classroom.

People from really unique and different backgrounds. People who come from all different countries and lawyers, doctors people who have run, nonprofits in developing countries people running large programs for places like Heineken or Amazon too. But, it’s a real diversity of backgrounds.

[00:18:27] John Byrne: Now, Heidi, I wonder if one is an applicant. Is this discouraging to read and here’s why if I’m not from Harvard, Stanford, Penn, Columbia, Brown, Cornell, Dartmouth, and if I didn’t work for McKinsey, Bain, BCG, Goldman, Google am I at a disadvantage and should I even try? Some people look at the data and come away with that conclusion.

[00:18:52] Heidi Hillis: I think it’s a reality check for a lot of people. I think it’s just, it’s really, it just helps people understand, what it, the difficulty of this, why it’s so competitive, but I think that there is, again, behind the kind of the percentages, you do look at these individual profiles and I would get, I would actually take a lot of hope from it if I were looking, as an applicant, because especially if you are.

Maybe a little bit more of a big fish or small fish in a bigger pond or big fish in a smaller pond you go to Rice or you go to Purdue or, and you do really well, those are the people who, they’re definitely looking for that diversity of background as well as the international.

I think that’s really neat. think that, instead of looking at the data and saying, why not, why I shouldn’t even apply, it’s why not me look at these other profiles of people who have taken really unique paths that that do get in. So I think it is actually a Kind of a mix of both, it is a reality check for a lot of people, but it’s actually, there is so much diversity in the data as well.

I think also one thing that we haven’t really covered is about is just the prevalence of social impact in, that’s really taken hold of the class. I don’t, again, going back to your 2013 analysis, I’m not sure how easy it was to tell that, but a lot of you can see reflected in the both the types of organizations people are working for, but also their titles and the kinds of work that they’re doing that that there’s a huge 40 percent of the class of the two classes had some kind of social impact in their background.

Whether that’s, running their own nonprofit on the side or volunteering or. Running trans transformational kind of programs within companies that are, either in finance or consulting or in industry. That’s a big trend. I think that people can take heart from as well.

So if you’re working if you feel like you’re in an organization where you’re not getting the leadership that you. can use to highlight your potential for Stanford, that’s definitely a place you can go is working for in volunteer capacity for a non profit or on the board of a of some kind of foundation.

Those are the kinds of places that you can highlight your potential

[00:21:00] John Byrne: true. And I know we have a overrepresented part of every applicant pool at an elite business school are software engineers from India. And I wonder in your analysis, how many of them did you find from like the IITs?

[00:21:18] Heidi Hillis: That’s a good question. The IITs, it was again, it was one of these you have about 50 percent of classes internet, so 25 percent of the class. was educated outside of the US. The IITs are going to be up there. Let’s see from India, 2. 1 percent of the class came from India. So probably, I don’t know offhand exactly how many of those were IITs, but

[00:21:43] John Byrne: I’ve had a lot of them.

[00:21:45] Heidi Hillis: Yeah, probably a lot of them. Although I think, that’s the other thing is that people who come, to work with me from India, they feel like if they haven’t gone to IIT, then that’s going to be a disadvantage. But I think, you’ll find that there are, there’s representation of other universities as well.

Definitely.

[00:22:00] Caroline Diarte Edwards: Yeah, I was just looking at the list of undergrad institutions. And for example, you’ve got Osmania University from Hyderabad. So it is not, it’s not all IIT. Okay.

[00:22:12] John Byrne: Yeah, exactly. And Caroline, 1 of the things about the institutions that are really represented here and that I don’t really see unless I missed it.

I didn’t see a Cambridge or an Oxford. Two of the best five universities in the world. And I wonder if that’s just a function of fewer people in the applicant pool or what? What do you think that could be about?

[00:22:36] Caroline Diarte Edwards: I had a look through the uk Institutions and you have got cambridge in there.

I think I also noticed. Bristol university there are a few different universities. So i’m aston university, which is not it’s not on a par with Oxford or Cambridge. So I think that speaks to the point that Heidi made that you don’t have to have been to an elite school to get into Stanford.

Aston is a good solid university, nothing wrong with Aston, but it’s not it’s not one of the top UK universities. So there’s definitely some interesting variety in the educational backgrounds of the students going to Stanford. And

[00:23:16] John Byrne: then, yeah, it is if you’re a big fish in a small pond, like Afton, you’ll you could still stand out in the pool.

[00:23:26] Heidi Hillis: Absolutely. There’s a lot of really interesting background, you have look hard on blue and you have Miami University and some really smaller universities abroad. I think. Again, it’s really, if you look at that, it does give you hope because it’s really what you do afterwards and if you, obviously, if you come from one of these schools, you probably want to be in the top, 5 percent of the graduating class, you want to show that you have the GPA that can support an academic background that they feel comfortable that you’ll be able to compete academically, but, and maybe that’s what you’re Offset by the, the GMA or the scores, you don’t know, we don’t have those on here.

But, um, the path post university really becomes much more important in those cases. What you’ve done since then where you’ve, how you’ve risen from starting at a entry level position to, running a division or heading a country group or something like that.

[00:24:21] John Byrne: And as far as Cordon Bleu goes, every good business program needs a Cordon Bleu, for God’s sake, right?

You want to eat well at those NBA parties, don’t you?

[00:24:32] Heidi Hillis: Absolutely.

[00:24:35] John Byrne: Maria, I’m sure that was true at Harvard.

[00:24:38] Maria Wich-Vila: I wasn’t the one doing the cooking but I certainly, I was certainly a member of the wine and cuisine society where I happily participated in the eating and consuming a part of that.

But to, to the point that we were just recently talking about. regarding being a big fish in a small pond. Not only have I seen it personally with applicants that I’ve worked with who did not attend these elite universities, but even many years ago, I attended a, an admissions conference where Kirsten Moss, who was the former head of admissions at Stanford, she actually told stories about how they’ve accepted people who even attended community college.

But within the context of that community college, they had really moved mountains. And she said that one of the things that they look for is, Within the context and the opportunities that you’ve been given, how much impact have you had? So maybe you don’t have an opportunity to go to Yale or MIT or IIT for your undergraduate, but whatever opportunity you have been given, have you grabbed that opportunity and really made the most of it and really driven change?

So she specifically called out, I believe, I believe there were two students that year at the GSB who had both started their educations, their higher educations at community college. Anything is possible. It really is about finding the people who, wherever they go, they jump in and make an impact.

[00:25:55] Heidi Hillis: Yeah, I think that to that point, I think it can almost be a more difficult if you’ve gone to Harvard and then worked at one of these, gone on one of these paths because we know that there’s, that’s an overrepresented pool in the applicant pool to stand out among those to have had that, that pedigree sometimes can be a disadvantage, right?

If you haven’t done as much as you should have with that, or if you started at that high level to show that level of progress over the course of your career is actually a little bit more difficult. Okay. And coming from a community college and rising to, a country level manager in some places is actually puts you at a significant advantage, I would say.

[00:26:31] Maria Wich-Vila: Because it’s hard for those people, it’s hard for those people to stand out, but also I think some of them go on autopilot, right? I think some people are on this kind of achievement, elite achievement treadmill, where they’re not even really thinking about what do I want to do with my life?

They’re always reaching for whatever that next, what’s the best college to go to? It’s Harvard Princeton. Yeah. Okay. Now that I’m here, what’s the best employer to work for? It’s McKinsey, Bain, BCG and without actually perhaps stopping to think about what is my passion? What impact do I want to make in the world?

And so I feel sometimes those autopilot candidates, I feel a little bit bad for them because they’re doing everything quote unquote and yet sometimes when you speak with them, that passion just isn’t there. And I do think that may ultimately harm them in the very, very elite business school.

Admissions because business schools want people who are passionate because at the end of the day, in order to do hard things, you’re going to need passion at some point to get you through those low periods. And so I think that’s something business schools look for. And I do think that sometimes these.

These kind of autopilot candidates might sometimes be at a disadvantage.

[00:27:29] Heidi Hillis: Yeah, I think that, to that point look in the data, when you look at it, you see so many people who’ve gone to McKinsey, Bain, Weasley, or Goldman, but then there’s a, you see a lot of success for people who’ve actually pivoted.

So those pivots that are post The second or third job really do show you that, if you’re if you get a candidate who’s coming from, still at McKinsey, okay, that’s fine. They have to be the top 5 percent of McKinsey, like they have to be going to get so many McKinsey applicants that the only the, you can look at the data in a couple ways.

One is, oh, my God, they took 12 people from McKinsey and the others. Oh, my God, they only took 12 people from McKinsey, right? That’s So if you want to be one of those 12, you have to be the top 12 in the world, right? Whereas if you’ve gone to McKinsey and then done an externship at a health care startup and then moved on to be a product manager at for health at Google, that kind of a path is definitely showing a little bit more, maybe risk taking, maybe ability to follow your passions.

So I think that. When I see candidates who come to me, for example, and they’re like, not thinking about applying now, but maybe in a year or two, I say, look for an externship, maybe think about pivoting out of one of these places and looking for some operational experience.

And because you see in the data that works.

[00:28:42] Maria Wich-Vila: And they’re doing themselves a service not only in terms of enhancing their admissions chances, but even just in terms of determining, what do I want to do with my career? If I do eventually want to go into industry, what functional role do I want to have?

What industry do I want to work in? So it’s, it actually benefits them in the long term to do that as well, even if they don’t go to business school. I think those secondments and externships and second job, post consulting jobs are extremely valuable. Totally agree with you.

[00:29:06] Caroline Diarte Edwards: And I’m sure they also bring more to the classroom as well.

I would think that’s also why Stanford is selecting some of those candidates, because not only have they worked at McKinsey, but they’ve also led a non profit in Africa or worked in private equity or whatever it is. So they have much more breadth that they can bring to the classroom. And I think that It’s seen as a very valuable contribution

[00:29:29] John Byrne: in Heidi.

Did you see that? The majority of the candidates to examined actually did work in more than one place, right?

[00:29:37] Heidi Hillis: Yes, most of them did. There were very few that, you see working at one place. And I would say that those are people that would have really risen through the ranks.

Someone who’s worked at Walmart and become, started in, I don’t know, in one state, but then to become a regional manager and things like that really are going to onto a global role. The people who have stayed at one place really have shown significant career progression within that.

And then the other people I think you do see a lot of movement. The big. The most typical would be from investment banking to private equity and then you do find in finance, there’s a little bit less kind of movement into other industries. You see a lot of people staying within finance, but within finance.

Yeah. Yeah. The other industries, especially consulting or other, tech, people are really moving into other places and it’s becoming, it is a little bit difficult. We have these categories that we’ve talked about, for example, healthcare, but it’s hard to categorize some of these companies.

Are they healthcare? Are they tech? There’s a lot of overlap. And so everything’s a little bit of tech in something nowadays. So whether it’s finance and fintech or education and ed tech or health care and health tech, these are all merging and combining. It’s hard to categorize them.

[00:30:53] John Byrne: So looking at the data here I wonder if you’ve seen your old classmates in the sense that these new people are very much like the people you went to school with at Stanford. I

[00:31:05] Heidi Hillis: put this out and it’s really interesting to a lot of my classmates downloaded the report and read it. And a lot of them came back and said, oh, boy, I would never get in now.

It’s these people are super impressive. I think that you see a lot of. It’s just become more and more competitive. And I think that with more information and more people every year applying, it is becoming really difficult. I think that you do see a lot of, I am encouraged by the diversity part of it that you see still Stanford.

I feel like they do take risks on some really interesting profiles and candidates that maybe some other schools are less likely to do. And so that’s what does give me. A lot of hope when I get some kind of really nontraditional candidate who wants to, their dream school is Stanford. I feel like, I say all the time, there’s a 6 percent chance.

You’re going to get in, but there’s 100 percent chance. You won’t get in if you don’t apply. So you’ve got to, you got to give it a go. And that’s, the attitude that we take to it.

[00:32:04] John Byrne: Indeed. So for all of you out there read Heidi’s article on our site, it’s called who gets in and why exclusive research.

Into Stanford GSB and I’ll tell you one conclusion I have about this is that, man, if you really want to get into Stanford, you need a Sherpa, and and Heidi would be a great Sherpa for you because the, just the profiles of these folks, where they’ve been, what they’ve done, what they’ve accomplished in their early lives is so remarkable that To compete against, in this pool for a spot in the class you need every possible advantage you can get.

And and having an expert guide you through this trip probably would be a really big advantage. So Heidi, thank you for sharing your insights with us and the research, the very cool research.

[00:33:01] Heidi Hillis: Thank you

[00:33:03] John Byrne: and for all of you out there. Good luck. And if you want to go to Stanford, you got to check out this report.

Okay. It will inspire you to up your game, even if you are from Harvard, Stanford, Wharton, or wherever McKinsey, Bain, BCG, Goldman, Google, you want to look at this report and you want to really think about. What it will really take to get in. I think it will inspire you, motivate you to really put your best foot forward.

Thanks for listening. This is John Byrne with Poets& Quants.

Maria

New around here? I’m an HBS graduate and a proud member (and former Board Member) of AIGAC. I considered opening a high-end boutique admissions consulting firm, but I wanted to make high-quality admissions advice accessible to all, so I “scaled myself” by creating ApplicantLab. ApplicantLab provides the SAME advice as high-end consultants at a much more affordable price. Read our rave reviews on GMATClub, and check out our free trial (no credit card required) today!